Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Evans 52.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 80.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Cizikas
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cizikas
Evans
Last 8: Cizikas 5-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
54.4% (824)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
66.7% (9)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
48.1% (289)
-14.8%
On power play, Evans has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Evans
Home
55.4% (303)
55.1% (541)
Away
54.9% (308)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Cizikas
Evans
P1
53.0%
51.8%
P2
56.0%
53.3%
P3
56.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
55.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |