Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Thornton 46.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 57.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 77.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Cizikas
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
43.5% (161)
+14.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
50.0% (14)
+16.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Thornton
Home
56.6% (484)
41.5% (106)
Away
54.5% (477)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Cizikas
Thornton
P1
57.2%
50.8%
P2
54.7%
41.0%
P3
54.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |