Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Veleno 49.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 71.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Cizikas
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Veleno
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Cizikas
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Cizikas
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
48.4% (531)
+5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.3% (64)
+43.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
44.4% (27)
+7.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Veleno
Home
58.6% (307)
48.8% (289)
Away
48.7% (339)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Cizikas
Veleno
P1
56.7%
46.1%
P2
49.8%
50.9%
P3
53.8%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |