Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Drouin 45.6% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 94.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 89.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Cizikas
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Drouin
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Cizikas
Drouin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
45.1% (355)
+11.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
40.9% (22)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
0.0% (3)
+40.6%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Drouin
Home
55.0% (473)
37.5% (160)
Away
51.7% (466)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Cizikas
Drouin
P1
54.9%
40.3%
P2
50.8%
43.3%
P3
54.5%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |