Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Toews 61.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 74.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Cizikas
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cizikas
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
61.1% (650)
-4.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
71.9% (192)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
59.6% (99)
-19.0%
On power play, Toews has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Toews
Home
55.0% (473)
64.8% (560)
Away
51.7% (466)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Cizikas
Toews
P1
54.9%
62.3%
P2
50.8%
63.9%
P3
54.5%
62.8%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |