Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Danforth 49.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 82.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 72.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Cizikas
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Danforth
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Danforth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Cizikas
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
50.5% (546)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (14)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
43.6% (101)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Danforth
Home
55.4% (303)
51.1% (315)
Away
54.9% (308)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Cizikas
Danforth
P1
53.0%
49.5%
P2
56.0%
51.4%
P3
56.2%
46.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |