Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Rooney 45.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 71.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Cizikas
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cizikas
Rooney
Last 6: Cizikas 3-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
Cizikas
Rooney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Rooney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
2
Cizikas
Rooney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
42.2% (102)
+14.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
0.0% (2)
+41.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
100.0% (1)
-59.4%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Rooney is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Rooney
Home
55.0% (473)
42.0% (69)
Away
51.7% (466)
41.7% (36)
By Period
Cizikas
Rooney
P1
54.9%
35.7%
P2
50.8%
48.4%
P3
54.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |