Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.3%). Cizikas wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.0% vs Stenlund 53.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 68.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 67.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Cizikas
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (596)
56.0% (746)
-1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
51.0% (49)
+49.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
50.9% (346)
-4.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Cizikas is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Cizikas shoots left. Stenlund is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (792).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stenlund
Home
54.4% (329)
55.8% (565)
Away
55.0% (313)
52.8% (576)
By Period
Cizikas
Stenlund
P1
57.4%
53.2%
P2
55.8%
53.9%
P3
51.4%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
54.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▬
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |