Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 73.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 61.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Cizikas
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
56.2% (605)
-2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.2% (47)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
51.8% (305)
-4.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Stenlund is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stenlund
Home
51.9% (258)
57.0% (446)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Cizikas
Stenlund
P1
56.0%
55.4%
P2
55.1%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
56.2%
OT
33.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |