Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.7%). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 71.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 63.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Cizikas
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
56.1% (615)
-1.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.2% (47)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
52.1% (307)
-4.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Stenlund
Home
53.3% (270)
57.0% (458)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Cizikas
Stenlund
P1
57.2%
55.1%
P2
56.3%
53.3%
P3
49.5%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |