Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pederson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Pederson 49.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 80.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 67.0%
Neutral zone
Pederson 59.8%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Cizikas
Pederson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Pederson
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Pederson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Pederson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Pederson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
0
3
Cizikas
Pederson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pederson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
48.9% (323)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
47.4% (19)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
44.4% (9)
+0.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pederson shoots right. Cizikas is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,864).
Cizikas shoots left. Pederson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pederson
Home
53.7% (5,498)
53.1% (145)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
45.6% (206)
By Period
Cizikas
Pederson
P1
53.0%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
45.8%
P3
51.7%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |