Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Couture 47.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 73.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 67.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Cizikas
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Cizikas
Couture
Last 9: Cizikas 5-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
49.2% (1,083)
+7.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
56.7% (60)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
35.4% (206)
+5.2%
On power play, Couture has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Couture
Home
55.0% (473)
49.6% (713)
Away
51.7% (466)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Cizikas
Couture
P1
54.9%
47.2%
P2
50.8%
45.0%
P3
54.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |