Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 70.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Cizikas
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cizikas
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
46.5% (878)
+7.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
48.3% (174)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.0% (54)
-2.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Scheifele
Home
53.3% (270)
46.2% (571)
Away
54.8% (299)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Cizikas
Scheifele
P1
57.2%
51.9%
P2
56.3%
45.6%
P3
49.5%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |