Casey Cizikas vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs McCarron 52.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 89.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 59.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 66.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Cizikas
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
McCarron
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
53.1% (672)
+1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
18.2% (11)
+81.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
53.7% (205)
-6.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +81.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Cizikas
McCarron
Home
53.3% (270)
52.8% (477)
Away
54.8% (299)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Cizikas
McCarron
P1
57.2%
56.5%
P2
56.3%
53.2%
P3
49.5%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |