Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs McLeod 56.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 62.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Cizikas
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Cizikas
McLeod
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
6
Cizikas
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
4
Cizikas
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
58.3% (859)
-0.5%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
50.0% (28)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
53.0% (168)
-8.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Cizikas
McLeod
Home
56.6% (484)
55.3% (526)
Away
54.5% (477)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Cizikas
McLeod
P1
57.2%
60.7%
P2
54.7%
55.9%
P3
54.8%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |