Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Raffl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Raffl 47.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 72.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 63.0%
Neutral zone
Raffl 61.0%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Cizikas
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Raffl
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
4
Cizikas
Raffl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
44.0% (91)
+8.4%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
50.0% (2)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
75.0% (4)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Raffl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Raffl
Home
56.5% (446)
42.5% (40)
Away
47.4% (409)
47.4% (57)
By Period
Cizikas
Raffl
P1
57.0%
48.6%
P2
51.0%
39.5%
P3
48.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |