Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Raffl 49.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 81.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 83.2%
Neutral zone
Raffl 52.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Cizikas
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cizikas
Raffl
Last 9: Cizikas 4-5 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Raffl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
4
Cizikas
Raffl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
49.1% (597)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
48.1% (27)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
58.5% (41)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Raffl is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Raffl
Home
53.7% (5,498)
51.1% (305)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
48.3% (360)
By Period
Cizikas
Raffl
P1
53.0%
51.6%
P2
51.1%
48.4%
P3
51.7%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |