Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.8%). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 91.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 91.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 54.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Cizikas
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Cizikas
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Cizikas
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
51.7% (346)
+2.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.5% (164)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
0.0% (1)
+51.7%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Rantanen
Home
58.6% (307)
55.8% (258)
Away
48.7% (339)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Cizikas
Rantanen
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
56.6%
P3
53.8%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |