Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 63.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 94.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 85.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Cizikas
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Schmaltz
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Cizikas
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
42.9% (133)
+14.9%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
55.1% (89)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
47.1% (17)
-2.2%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Schmaltz
Home
56.6% (484)
41.6% (125)
Away
54.5% (477)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Cizikas
Schmaltz
P1
57.2%
40.0%
P2
54.7%
59.5%
P3
54.8%
45.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |