Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Acciari 51.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 70.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 59.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Cizikas
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cizikas
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Cizikas
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
53.0% (285)
+1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
31.3% (16)
+68.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.8% (183)
-3.2%
On power play, Cizikas has a +68.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Acciari
Home
53.3% (270)
53.2% (267)
Away
54.8% (299)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Cizikas
Acciari
P1
57.2%
53.1%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
49.5%
50.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |