Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Brown 56.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 58.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 51.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.7%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Cizikas
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Cizikas
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Cizikas
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Cizikas
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
61.3% (336)
-3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
50.0% (4)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
45.9% (74)
-1.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Brown
Home
56.6% (484)
61.1% (180)
Away
54.5% (477)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Cizikas
Brown
P1
57.2%
57.5%
P2
54.7%
58.5%
P3
54.8%
59.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |