Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Zacha 50.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 62.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 89.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Cizikas
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Cizikas
Zacha
Last 8: Cizikas 7-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
48.0% (296)
+9.8%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
61.0% (59)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
50.0% (22)
-5.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zacha
Home
56.6% (484)
48.9% (223)
Away
54.5% (477)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Cizikas
Zacha
P1
57.2%
47.9%
P2
54.7%
48.3%
P3
54.8%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |