Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Hartman 48.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 83.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 86.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Cizikas
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cizikas
Hartman
Last 7: Cizikas 6-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
48.1% (520)
+8.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
47.8% (23)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Hartman
Home
55.4% (303)
48.3% (360)
Away
54.9% (308)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Cizikas
Hartman
P1
53.0%
48.5%
P2
56.0%
45.2%
P3
56.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |