Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 58.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 77.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 56.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cizikas
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Cizikas
Kesler
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
8
Cizikas
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
6
0
Cizikas
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cizikas
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,814)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.9% (175)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,890)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cizikas is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,838).
Cizikas shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kesler
Home
53.6% (5,448)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.1% (5,432)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Cizikas
Kesler
P1
52.9%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
55.9%
P3
51.6%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
51.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | OT | 01:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2013 | OT | 01:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |