Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Strome 42.3% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 61.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Cizikas
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cizikas
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Cizikas
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
41.2% (1,040)
+15.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
43.0% (151)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
51.4% (35)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Strome
Home
55.4% (303)
40.1% (581)
Away
54.9% (308)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Cizikas
Strome
P1
53.0%
41.4%
P2
56.0%
42.9%
P3
56.2%
40.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |