Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Gagner 48.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 89.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 62.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 70.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Cizikas
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Gagner
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Cizikas
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Cizikas
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (685)
47.3% (395)
+7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.0% (62)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (198)
50.0% (4)
-1.5%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cizikas is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Cizikas shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gagner
Home
55.1% (448)
49.4% (267)
Away
51.0% (443)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Cizikas
Gagner
P1
51.7%
47.5%
P2
53.1%
48.5%
P3
54.5%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |