Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 88.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 67.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Cizikas
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cizikas
Gagner
Last 10: Cizikas 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
4
Cizikas
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,814)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.9% (175)
51.5% (928)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,890)
35.0% (226)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cizikas is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,838).
Cizikas shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Gagner
Home
53.6% (5,448)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
50.1% (5,432)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Cizikas
Gagner
P1
52.9%
44.6%
P2
51.1%
46.1%
P3
51.6%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
51.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |