Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Couturier 48.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 65.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Cizikas
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cizikas
Couturier
Last 7: Cizikas 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Cizikas
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Cizikas
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (723)
47.4% (1,052)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
54.7% (95)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (111)
50.3% (183)
-0.8%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Cizikas shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Couturier
Home
56.5% (446)
48.3% (658)
Away
47.4% (409)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Cizikas
Couturier
P1
57.0%
50.1%
P2
51.0%
45.5%
P3
48.7%
49.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
52.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |