Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 83.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Cizikas
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cizikas
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (525)
53.8% (1,003)
-0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.4% (202)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (120)
42.7% (89)
+9.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Cizikas shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Couturier
Home
58.6% (307)
54.4% (680)
Away
48.7% (339)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Cizikas
Couturier
P1
56.7%
56.3%
P2
49.8%
51.8%
P3
53.8%
52.2%
OT
100.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |