Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 57.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Cizikas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
53.2% (823)
+1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.3% (159)
+44.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
48.4% (95)
-0.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Monahan
Home
53.3% (270)
54.6% (529)
Away
54.8% (299)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Cizikas
Monahan
P1
57.2%
49.0%
P2
56.3%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |