Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 94.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 76.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Cizikas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cizikas
Monahan
Last 8: Cizikas 6-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Cizikas
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.5% (641)
+6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
62.8% (129)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
33.3% (9)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Monahan
Home
56.6% (484)
53.9% (362)
Away
54.5% (477)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Cizikas
Monahan
P1
57.2%
48.0%
P2
54.7%
57.0%
P3
54.8%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |