Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Pinto 50.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 74.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 58.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Cizikas
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cizikas
Pinto
Last 9: Cizikas 4-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Cizikas
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Cizikas
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
50.4% (779)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
55.2% (29)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
44.9% (78)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Pinto
Home
55.4% (303)
52.4% (454)
Away
54.9% (308)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Cizikas
Pinto
P1
53.0%
48.1%
P2
56.0%
52.9%
P3
56.2%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |