Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Crosby 52.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 67.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Cizikas
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Cizikas
Crosby
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
0
Cizikas
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Cizikas
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
50.8% (1,169)
+7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
60.2% (261)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
45.0% (20)
-0.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Crosby
Home
56.6% (484)
53.2% (726)
Away
54.5% (477)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Cizikas
Crosby
P1
57.2%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
52.1%
P3
54.8%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 12, 2022 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |