Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.3% vs Frederic 54.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 56.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 58.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 52.5%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Cizikas
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Frederic
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
2
Cizikas
Frederic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (392)
58.0% (138)
-4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Cizikas is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Cizikas shoots left. Frederic is 62.8% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frederic
Home
50.5% (220)
58.1% (74)
Away
55.2% (210)
58.2% (67)
By Period
Cizikas
Frederic
P1
56.3%
57.1%
P2
57.8%
51.3%
P3
44.8%
64.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
52.8%
Frederic
62.0%▲
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |