Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frederic on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Frederic 54.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 53.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 51.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Cizikas
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Frederic
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
2
Cizikas
Frederic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
57.6% (151)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Frederic is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frederic
Home
53.3% (270)
55.6% (81)
Away
54.8% (299)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Cizikas
Frederic
P1
57.2%
57.7%
P2
56.3%
54.3%
P3
49.5%
60.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |