Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Johnson 53.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 81.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Cizikas
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Johnson
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Cizikas
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
61.9% (42)
-4.1%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cizikas is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Cizikas shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Johnson
Home
56.6% (484)
52.0% (25)
Away
54.5% (477)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Cizikas
Johnson
P1
57.2%
72.0%
P2
54.7%
66.7%
P3
54.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |