Casey Mittelstadt vs Claude Giroux
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Giroux 60.9% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 62.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 84.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 68.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
60.3% (395)
-9.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
67.3% (107)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
65.4% (153)
+34.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Giroux
Home
59.3% (91)
65.9% (337)
Away
42.5% (80)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Giroux
P1
48.8%
62.1%
P2
49.1%
64.5%
P3
56.7%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |