Casey Mittelstadt vs David Backes
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Backes 55.3% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 71.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Mittelstadt
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Mittelstadt
Backes
Last 8: Mittelstadt 3-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Mittelstadt
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Mittelstadt
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
55.7% (228)
-16.6%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
65.2% (66)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
40.0% (15)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Mittelstadt is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backes
Home
43.2% (280)
55.9% (188)
Away
35.9% (256)
58.7% (121)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backes
P1
41.8%
53.0%
P2
37.6%
56.6%
P3
39.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
34.9%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | David Backes |