Casey Mittelstadt vs David Backes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Backes 50.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 50.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 63.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Mittelstadt
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Mittelstadt
Backes
Last 8: Mittelstadt 3-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Mittelstadt
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Mittelstadt
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
51.1% (5,772)
-6.1%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
50.8% (1,082)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
47.4% (930)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Backes
Home
46.7% (2,316)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Backes
P1
46.8%
50.1%
P2
46.1%
51.5%
P3
44.0%
50.8%
OT
36.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | David Backes |