Casey Mittelstadt vs Elias Lindholm
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Lindholm 54.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 86.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 91.1%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 87.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
Last 9: Mittelstadt 1-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
6
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
54.9% (937)
-10.2%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
60.4% (265)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.4% (172)
-9.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
Home
46.0% (491)
54.4% (688)
Away
42.4% (512)
56.1% (686)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Lindholm
P1
44.0%
57.2%
P2
46.4%
54.3%
P3
41.9%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |