Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Staal 51.0% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 78.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 82.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 79.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Mittelstadt
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Mittelstadt
Staal
Last 6: Mittelstadt 0-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Mittelstadt
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Mittelstadt
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Mittelstadt
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
50.6% (1,026)
-11.5%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
55.0% (211)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
35.0% (20)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (326).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
43.2% (280)
52.4% (647)
Away
35.9% (256)
49.7% (610)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
41.8%
49.4%
P2
37.6%
53.9%
P3
39.6%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
34.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |