Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.2%). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Staal 46.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mittelstadt
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Mittelstadt
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Mittelstadt
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Mittelstadt
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
49.6% (565)
-4.3%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
35.0% (20)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
35.4% (158)
+5.2%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Staal
Home
45.1% (366)
46.1% (380)
Away
46.8% (370)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Staal
P1
41.1%
45.7%
P2
51.1%
46.2%
P3
45.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |