Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Haula 50.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 59.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Mittelstadt
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Mittelstadt
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
50.2% (516)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
56.9% (58)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.7% (39)
+51.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Haula is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Haula
Home
60.7% (89)
49.8% (321)
Away
43.1% (65)
51.7% (292)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Haula
P1
46.3%
51.8%
P2
52.9%
50.5%
P3
58.6%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |