Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.9% vs Haula 50.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 60.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mittelstadt
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Mittelstadt
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Haula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Mittelstadt
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (139)
50.0% (704)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.4% (74)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.1% (59)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Mittelstadt is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Haula
Home
59.3% (91)
48.6% (426)
Away
42.5% (80)
51.6% (411)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Haula
P1
48.8%
52.2%
P2
49.1%
51.5%
P3
56.7%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |