Casey Mittelstadt vs J.T. Compher
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.2% vs 45.1%). Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Compher 45.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.5%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Mittelstadt
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mittelstadt
Compher
Last 7: Mittelstadt 2-5 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Mittelstadt
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Mittelstadt
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
45.8% (847)
-1.1%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
40.8% (49)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
41.9% (117)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Compher
Home
46.0% (491)
45.1% (519)
Away
42.4% (512)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Compher
P1
44.0%
45.8%
P2
46.4%
46.2%
P3
41.9%
43.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |