Casey Mittelstadt vs Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Karlsson 44.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.2%
Result
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
42.2% (225)
+2.8%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
0.0% (1)
+49.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.0% (2)
-12.5%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
46.7% (2,316)
43.0% (135)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
46.8%
30.6%
P2
46.1%
54.0%
P3
44.0%
39.0%
OT
36.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |