Casey Mittelstadt vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 88.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 84.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 84.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
4
Mittelstadt
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Mittelstadt
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Mittelstadt
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,922)
54.4% (7,990)
-9.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
56.8% (1,726)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
52.7% (643)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Spezza
Home
46.7% (2,316)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
44.3% (2,368)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Spezza
P1
46.8%
55.7%
P2
46.1%
54.4%
P3
44.0%
54.1%
OT
36.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |