Who wins more faceoffs, Casey Mittelstadt or Joe Thornton?

Joe Thornton leads the head-to-head 8-3 across 11 faceoffs.

What is Casey Mittelstadt's faceoff record against Joe Thornton?

Casey Mittelstadt is 3-8 against Joe Thornton in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-3, Defensive 2-0, Neutral 0-5.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Casey Mittelstadt or Joe Thornton?

Casey Mittelstadt is the predicted winner with a 77.1% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Casey Mittelstadt vs Joe Thornton

Casey MittelstadtL vs Joe ThorntonL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Joe Thornton holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Thornton 54.3% (-8.8%)

H2H factor Thornton leads 8-3 in 11 meetings

Offensive zone Mittelstadt 70.3%

Defensive zone Mittelstadt 80.2%

Neutral zone Mittelstadt 81.2%

Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 77.1%

77.1%

22.9%

Mittelstadt Thornton

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 8 (11 meetings)

Mittelstadt Thornton

Last 10: Mittelstadt 2-8 Thornton

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Thornton

Mittelstadt Thornton

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Mittelstadt

Mittelstadt Thornton

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Thornton

Mittelstadt Thornton

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Mittelstadt

Thornton

Edge

Even Strength

45.0% (3,922)

53.5% (6,640)

-8.5%

Power Play

49.7% (666)

57.2% (1,387)

-7.5%

Penalty Kill

37.5% (96)

56.7% (427)

-19.2%

On penalty kill, Thornton has a +19.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Thornton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).

Mittelstadt shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).

Home / Away

Mittelstadt

Thornton

Home

46.7% (2,316)

55.8% (4,271)

Away

44.3% (2,368)

52.8% (4,219)

By Period

Mittelstadt

Thornton

46.8%

55.0%

46.1%

53.3%

44.0%

54.4%

36.6%

56.4%

Final 5 min

43.6%

53.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Mittelstadt

42.0%▼

50.5%

45.5%

Thornton

44.0%▼

46.5%

54.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 2, 2021	2	04:43	Defensive	Casey Mittelstadt
Dec 2, 2021	2	00:34	Offensive	Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019	3	01:25	Offensive	Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019	1	17:57	Neutral	Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019	1	15:23	Neutral	Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019	1	04:37	Neutral	Joe Thornton
Oct 22, 2019	1	01:17	Neutral	Joe Thornton
Oct 19, 2019	1	12:10	Neutral	Joe Thornton
Oct 19, 2019	1	08:21	Offensive	Joe Thornton
Oct 19, 2019	1	04:52	Defensive	Casey Mittelstadt
Nov 27, 2018	1	16:53	Offensive	Casey Mittelstadt

Mittelstadt's Profile | Thornton's Profile