Casey Mittelstadt vs Joe Thornton
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.0%). Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Thornton 46.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.4%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 63.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Mittelstadt
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Mittelstadt
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
43.5% (161)
+2.4%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
50.0% (14)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Thornton
Home
47.2% (193)
41.5% (106)
Away
42.9% (259)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Thornton
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
45.7%
41.0%
P3
38.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |