Casey Mittelstadt vs Jonathan Toews
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Toews 56.0% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 60.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 88.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Mittelstadt
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Toews
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Mittelstadt
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
56.5% (1,310)
-17.4%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
59.7% (325)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.0% (245)
-51.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Mittelstadt is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (326).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Toews
Home
43.2% (280)
56.6% (927)
Away
35.9% (256)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Toews
P1
41.8%
56.3%
P2
37.6%
55.8%
P3
39.6%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
34.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
39.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |