Casey Mittelstadt vs Jonathan Toews
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 84.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 91.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Mittelstadt
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Mittelstadt
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
1
Mittelstadt
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
61.1% (650)
-15.8%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
71.9% (192)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
59.6% (99)
-19.0%
On power play, Toews has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Toews
Home
45.1% (366)
64.8% (560)
Away
46.8% (370)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Toews
P1
41.1%
62.3%
P2
51.1%
63.9%
P3
45.9%
62.8%
OT
30.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |